Virginia Cavaliers 75, Stanford Cardinal 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Stanford Cardinal 75–69 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:06 swung win probability 16% → 53%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanford Cardinal lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 11 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 75 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 13 | 15 | 23 | 18 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:06 swung win probability 16% → 53%.
Why Stanford Cardinal lost
- Lost Q2 15-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 39.7% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 28-15 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q3 7:06 | 16% → 53% |