Stanford Cardinal 71, California Golden Bears 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-25 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Stanford Cardinal 78–71 on 2026-01-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:50 swung win probability 91% → 47%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stanford Cardinal lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 19 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 71 |
| California Golden Bears | 9 | 25 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:50 swung win probability 91% → 47%.
Why Stanford Cardinal lost
- Lost Q2 15-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 5:12 (win probability 60% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | Q3 5:12 | 60% → 90% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q4 2:50 | 91% → 47% |