Stanford Cardinal 77, North Carolina Tar Heels 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 77–71 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:46 swung win probability 52% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Carolina Tar Heels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 14 | 15 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 77 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 18 | 16 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:46 swung win probability 52% → 85%.
Why North Carolina Tar Heels lost
- Lost Q5 6-12 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 47.3% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | Q2 2:46 | 52% → 85% |