California Golden Bears 69, Stanford Cardinal 78
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated California Golden Bears 78–69 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:46 swung win probability 21% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Golden Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 15 | 16 | 24 | 14 | 69 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 13 | 21 | 18 | 26 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:46 swung win probability 21% → 98%.
Why California Golden Bears lost
- Lost Q4 14-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 4:46 (win probability 21% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 49.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q2 5:47 | 43% → 76% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 12–0 | Q4 4:46 | 21% → 98% |