Duke Blue Devils 51, Clemson Tigers 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-22 · Winner: Clemson Tigers
Clemson Tigers defeated Duke Blue Devils 53–51 on 2026-02-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:47 swung win probability 18% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duke Blue Devils lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 20 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 51 |
| Clemson Tigers | 8 | 15 | 7 | 23 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:47 swung win probability 18% → 93%.
Why Duke Blue Devils lost
- Lost Q4 12-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 2:28 (win probability 15% → 55% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 13–0 | Q1 4:10 | 75% → 28% |
| Clemson Tigers | 10–0 | Q2 2:28 | 15% → 55% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q3 4:07 | 53% → 12% |
| Clemson Tigers | 9–0 | Q4 5:31 | 4% → 45% |
| Clemson Tigers | 8–0 | Q4 2:47 | 18% → 93% |