Clemson Tigers 44, North Carolina Tar Heels 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Clemson Tigers 53–44 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:43 swung win probability 30% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Clemson Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson Tigers | 12 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 44 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 13 | 9 | 19 | 12 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:43 swung win probability 30% → 84%.
Why Clemson Tigers lost
- Lost Q3 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 3:43 (win probability 30% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 33.7% eFG vs a 50.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 10–0 | Q3 3:43 | 30% → 84% |