NC State Wolfpack 65, Duke Blue Devils 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated NC State Wolfpack 83–65 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:43 swung win probability 62% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 16 | 10 | 22 | 17 | 65 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:43 swung win probability 62% → 93%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost Q1 16-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 3:43 (win probability 62% → 93% for the home side).
- Shot 42.9% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 12–0 | Q1 3:43 | 62% → 93% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 11–0 | Q3 1:36 | 100% → 89% |