Louisville Cardinals 88, NC State Wolfpack 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-18 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated NC State Wolfpack 88–80 on 2026-01-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:06 swung win probability 96% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 14 | 14 | 19 | 27 | 14 | 88 |
| NC State Wolfpack | 23 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:06 swung win probability 96% → 45%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost Q5 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 9:06 (win probability 96% → 45% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | Q2 0:26 | 92% → 72% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 8–0 | Q3 6:42 | 64% → 91% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 13–0 | Q4 9:06 | 96% → 45% |