NC State Wolfpack 95, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: NC State Wolfpack
NC State Wolfpack defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 95–77 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:07 swung win probability 95% → 36%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 23 | 20 | 32 | 20 | 95 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:07 swung win probability 95% → 36%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Lost Q3 13-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 8:07 (win probability 95% → 36% for the home side).
- Outscored 14-3 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-2.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10–0 | Q1 1:48 | 62% → 91% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9–0 | Q2 5:36 | 82% → 98% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 15–0 | Q3 8:07 | 95% → 36% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 8–0 | Q3 5:06 | 47% → 9% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 12–0 | Q4 6:49 | 1% → 0% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | Q4 3:18 | 0% → 0% |