Oregon Ducks 53, Stanford Cardinal 64
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated Oregon Ducks 64–53 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:45 swung win probability 40% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Oregon Ducks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 12 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 53 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 19 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:45 swung win probability 40% → 84%.
Why Oregon Ducks lost
- Lost Q4 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 2:15 (win probability 69% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 33.9% eFG vs a 50.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 9–0 | Q1 2:15 | 69% → 92% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q3 2:45 | 40% → 84% |