Portland Pilots 59, Oregon Ducks 85
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks defeated Portland Pilots 85–59 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 26-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:40 swung win probability 84% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Portland Pilots lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots | 7 | 12 | 24 | 16 | 59 |
| Oregon Ducks | 19 | 25 | 28 | 13 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:40 swung win probability 84% → 97%.
Why Portland Pilots lost
- Lost Q2 12-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:25 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 39.8% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 8–0 | Q2 8:40 | 84% → 97% |
| Oregon Ducks | 9–0 | Q2 6:25 | 95% → 100% |
| Oregon Ducks | 8–0 | Q3 1:24 | 100% → 100% |