Montana State Bobcats 44, Oregon Ducks 69
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks defeated Montana State Bobcats 69–44 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:37 swung win probability 50% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Montana State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 10 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 44 |
| Oregon Ducks | 21 | 16 | 21 | 11 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:37 swung win probability 50% → 92%.
Why Montana State Bobcats lost
- Lost Q2 4-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q1 3:37 (win probability 50% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 29.5% eFG vs a 46.6% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 22-11 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 14–0 | Q1 3:37 | 50% → 92% |
| Oregon Ducks | 14–0 | Q2 1:35 | 93% → 100% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q4 2:50 | 100% → 100% |