Jackson State Lady Tigers 43, Illinois Fighting Illini 86
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Jackson State Lady Tigers 86–43 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 43-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:44 swung win probability 69% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jackson State Lady Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson State Lady Tigers | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 43 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 25 | 22 | 17 | 22 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:44 swung win probability 69% → 95%.
Why Jackson State Lady Tigers lost
- Lost Q1 5-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 9:14 (win probability 88% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 32.7% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
- Outscored 17-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 12–0 | Q1 4:44 | 69% → 95% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 13–0 | Q2 9:14 | 88% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | Q2 5:41 | 99% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 12–0 | Q2 1:08 | 100% → 100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 9–0 | Q4 5:51 | 100% → 100% |