Michigan Wolverines 69, Vanderbilt Commodores 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-19 · Winner: Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores defeated Michigan Wolverines 72–69 on 2026-01-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:45 swung win probability 51% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan Wolverines lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 17 | 13 | 23 | 16 | 69 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 21 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:45 swung win probability 51% → 84%.
Why Michigan Wolverines lost
- Lost Q2 13-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 3:45 (win probability 51% → 84% for the home side).
- Shot 45.6% eFG vs a 51.2% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 10–0 | Q1 3:45 | 51% → 84% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 10–0 | Q2 8:40 | 76% → 96% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | Q2 1:17 | 88% → 99% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q4 5:11 | 98% → 73% |