St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 60, Denver Pioneers 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies defeated Denver Pioneers 60–56 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:02 swung win probability 98% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Denver Pioneers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 14 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 60 |
| Denver Pioneers | 6 | 16 | 25 | 9 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:02 swung win probability 98% → 0%.
Why Denver Pioneers lost
- Lost Q4 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 0:02 (win probability 98% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 38.5% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 17-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 9–0 | Q4 6:58 | 97% → 64% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 10–0 | Q4 0:02 | 98% → 0% |