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South Dakota State Jackrabbits 84, St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 51

NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: South Dakota State Jackrabbits

South Dakota State Jackrabbits defeated St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 84–51 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 33-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:53 swung win probability 28% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Dakota State Jackrabbits1523252184
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies914151351

Win probability

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:53 swung win probability 28% → 5%.
Why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
South Dakota State Jackrabbits8–0Q2 0:5328% → 5%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits8–0Q3 1:100% → 0%
South Dakota State Jackrabbits10–0Q4 6:460% → 0%

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