North Dakota State Bison 75, St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota State Bison defeated St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 75–66 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:30 swung win probability 3% → 26%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 26 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 75 |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 15 | 11 | 17 | 23 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:30 swung win probability 3% → 26%.
Why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost
- Lost Q1 15-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:19 (win probability 25% → 4% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-8.
- Outscored 26-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 9–0 | Q2 6:19 | 25% → 4% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 9–0 | Q2 3:15 | 4% → 20% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 10–0 | Q3 2:30 | 3% → 26% |