St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 49, South Dakota State Jackrabbits 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: South Dakota State Jackrabbits
South Dakota State Jackrabbits defeated St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 67–49 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:43 swung win probability 50% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 19 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 49 |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 20 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:43 swung win probability 50% → 91%.
Why St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies lost
- Lost Q4 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 1:43 (win probability 50% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 42.7% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | Q1 1:25 | 78% → 49% |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 11–0 | Q2 1:43 | 50% → 91% |
| St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies | 8–0 | Q3 3:42 | 99% → 90% |