Youngstown State Penguins 69, IU Indianapolis Jaguars 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Youngstown State Penguins
Youngstown State Penguins defeated IU Indianapolis Jaguars 69–65 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:14 swung win probability 94% → 29%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why IU Indianapolis Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youngstown State Penguins | 26 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 69 |
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 18 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:14 swung win probability 94% → 29%.
Why IU Indianapolis Jaguars lost
- Lost Q1 18-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 5:22 (win probability 90% → 40% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 12–0 | Q2 5:57 | 32% → 79% |
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 12–0 | Q3 8:03 | 41% → 90% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 11–0 | Q3 5:22 | 90% → 40% |
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 9–0 | Q4 8:40 | 39% → 91% |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 8–0 | Q4 3:14 | 94% → 29% |