Robert Morris Colonials 43, Green Bay Phoenix 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Green Bay Phoenix
Green Bay Phoenix defeated Robert Morris Colonials 64–43 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:07 swung win probability 76% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Robert Morris Colonials lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris Colonials | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 43 |
| Green Bay Phoenix | 10 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:07 swung win probability 76% → 99%.
Why Robert Morris Colonials lost
- Lost Q2 4-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 6:07 (win probability 76% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 32.7% eFG vs a 45.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 15-10.
- Outscored 15-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Phoenix | 8–0 | Q1 2:21 | 69% → 90% |
| Green Bay Phoenix | 14–0 | Q2 6:07 | 76% → 99% |
| Green Bay Phoenix | 8–0 | Q2 2:02 | 98% → 100% |