Northern Kentucky Norse 88, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 85
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Northern Kentucky Norse
Northern Kentucky Norse defeated Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 88–85 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:03 swung win probability 97% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 20 | 14 | 17 | 26 | 11 | 88 |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 25 | 23 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:03 swung win probability 97% → 0%.
Why Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons lost
- Lost Q3 9-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 3:27 (win probability 85% → 55% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 10–0 | Q1 3:27 | 85% → 55% |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 10–0 | Q1 0:25 | 55% → 86% |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 17–0 | Q2 1:20 | 53% → 97% |
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 10–0 | Q3 0:33 | 97% → 74% |
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 8–0 | OT 0:03 | 97% → 0% |