Tennessee Lady Volunteers 65, Louisville Cardinals 89
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Tennessee Lady Volunteers 89–65 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 24-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:24 swung win probability 47% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 17 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 65 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 17 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:24 swung win probability 47% → 91%.
Why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost
- Lost Q4 13-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 6:38 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 8–0 | Q2 7:09 | 79% → 47% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 12–0 | Q2 3:24 | 47% → 91% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 15–0 | Q4 6:38 | 92% → 100% |