Eastern Kentucky Colonels 51, Louisville Cardinals 76
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Eastern Kentucky Colonels 76–51 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:01 swung win probability 59% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 19 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 51 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 14 | 16 | 24 | 22 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:01 swung win probability 59% → 99%.
Why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost
- Lost Q3 10-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 7:01 (win probability 59% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 40.4% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-16.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 24-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | Q2 6:06 | 36% → 72% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 14–0 | Q3 7:01 | 59% → 99% |