Duke Blue Devils 76, Belmont Bruins 46
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Belmont Bruins 76–46 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:32 swung win probability 57% → 14%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Belmont Bruins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 12 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 76 |
| Belmont Bruins | 11 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 46 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:32 swung win probability 57% → 14%.
Why Belmont Bruins lost
- Lost Q2 4-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 2:47 (win probability 7% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 29.4% eFG vs a 45.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q1 4:42 | 62% → 31% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 10–0 | Q2 3:32 | 57% → 14% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q2 0:34 | 23% → 3% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 13–0 | Q3 2:47 | 7% → 0% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q4 7:27 | 0% → 0% |