USC Trojans 61, California Golden Bears 57
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: USC Trojans
USC Trojans defeated California Golden Bears 61–57 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:05 swung win probability 91% → 48%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Golden Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 13 | 18 | 12 | 18 | 61 |
| California Golden Bears | 10 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:05 swung win probability 91% → 48%.
Why California Golden Bears lost
- Lost Q4 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 8:05 (win probability 91% → 48% for the home side).
- Shot 37.0% eFG vs a 49.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-14.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | 8–0 | Q4 8:05 | 91% → 48% |