Western Carolina Catamounts 38, Furman Paladins 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Furman Paladins
Furman Paladins defeated Western Carolina Catamounts 69–38 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:08 swung win probability 26% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Carolina Catamounts lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 11 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38 |
| Furman Paladins | 12 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:08 swung win probability 26% → 98%.
Why Western Carolina Catamounts lost
- Lost Q3 7-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 3:08 (win probability 26% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 24.5% eFG vs a 40.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 30-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 23-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 9–0 | Q1 2:08 | 47% → 79% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 9–0 | Q3 9:42 | 55% → 14% |
| Furman Paladins | 17–0 | Q3 3:08 | 26% → 98% |
| Furman Paladins | 11–0 | Q4 7:11 | 98% → 100% |