Mercer Bears 80, Furman Paladins 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Furman Paladins 80–63 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:00 swung win probability 88% → 43%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Furman Paladins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 19 | 15 | 21 | 25 | 80 |
| Furman Paladins | 21 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:00 swung win probability 88% → 43%.
Why Furman Paladins lost
- Lost Q4 13-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 0:18 (win probability 13% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-13.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | Q1 6:07 | 48% → 75% |
| Mercer Bears | 11–0 | Q2 0:00 | 88% → 43% |
| Mercer Bears | 13–0 | Q4 0:18 | 13% → 0% |