Mercer Bears 48, Samford Bulldogs 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Samford Bulldogs
Samford Bulldogs defeated Mercer Bears 68–48 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:12 swung win probability 91% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 48 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:12 swung win probability 91% → 100%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost Q2 3-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 9:12 (win probability 91% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 31.8% eFG vs a 42.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 13–0 | Q3 9:12 | 91% → 100% |
| Mercer Bears | 12–0 | Q3 3:05 | 100% → 99% |