Furman Paladins 60, Mercer Bears 49
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Furman Paladins
Furman Paladins defeated Mercer Bears 60–49 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:46 swung win probability 2% → 41%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 17 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 60 |
| Mercer Bears | 14 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 9:46 swung win probability 2% → 41%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost Q4 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 6:30 (win probability 40% → 2% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 42.6% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 12–0 | Q4 9:46 | 2% → 41% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | Q4 6:30 | 40% → 2% |