Mercer Bears 84, Western Carolina Catamounts 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Western Carolina Catamounts 84–75 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:29 swung win probability 79% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Carolina Catamounts lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 13 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 84 |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 15 | 24 | 17 | 19 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:29 swung win probability 79% → 24%.
Why Western Carolina Catamounts lost
- Lost Q3 17-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 1:29 (win probability 79% → 24% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | Q3 1:29 | 79% → 24% |
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | Q4 7:59 | 42% → 3% |