Auburn Montgomery Senators 55, Mercer Bears 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Auburn Montgomery Senators 66–55 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:49 swung win probability 64% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Auburn Montgomery Senators lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Montgomery Senators | 14 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 55 |
| Mercer Bears | 10 | 18 | 25 | 13 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:49 swung win probability 64% → 98%.
Why Auburn Montgomery Senators lost
- Lost Q3 11-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 2:49 (win probability 64% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 10–0 | Q3 2:49 | 64% → 98% |
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | Q3 0:21 | 91% → 100% |