Erskine Flying Fleet 37, Mercer Bears 91
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Erskine Flying Fleet 91–37 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 54-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:21 swung win probability 69% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Erskine Flying Fleet lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erskine Flying Fleet | 3 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 37 |
| Mercer Bears | 23 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:21 swung win probability 69% → 91%.
Why Erskine Flying Fleet lost
- Lost Q1 3-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q2 3:06 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 25.0% eFG vs a 31.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-13.
- Outscored 20-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 26-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | Q1 6:21 | 69% → 91% |
| Mercer Bears | 12–0 | Q2 8:38 | 93% → 100% |
| Mercer Bears | 16–0 | Q2 3:06 | 100% → 100% |