Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 43, Mercer Bears 66
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 66–43 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:08 swung win probability 72% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi Valley State Devilettes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 5 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 43 |
| Mercer Bears | 23 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:08 swung win probability 72% → 93%.
Why Mississippi Valley State Devilettes lost
- Lost Q1 5-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 1:17 (win probability 90% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 31.8% eFG vs a 37.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | Q1 7:08 | 72% → 93% |
| Mercer Bears | 11–0 | Q1 1:17 | 90% → 99% |
| Mercer Bears | 11–0 | Q2 3:56 | 98% → 100% |
| Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 9–0 | Q3 2:22 | 100% → 100% |