East Tennessee State Bucs 46, Samford Bulldogs 39
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: East Tennessee State Bucs
East Tennessee State Bucs defeated Samford Bulldogs 46–39 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:09 swung win probability 87% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Samford Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46 |
| Samford Bulldogs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 39 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:09 swung win probability 87% → 51%.
Why Samford Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q3 4-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 3:09 (win probability 87% → 51% for the home side).
- Shot 30.2% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-9.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 3:20 | 69% → 90% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8–0 | Q3 3:09 | 87% → 51% |