Western Carolina Catamounts 51, East Tennessee State Bucs 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: East Tennessee State Bucs
East Tennessee State Bucs defeated Western Carolina Catamounts 61–51 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 18-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:47 swung win probability 65% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Carolina Catamounts lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 8 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 51 |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 17 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:47 swung win probability 65% → 99%.
Why Western Carolina Catamounts lost
- Lost Q2 7-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q2 6:47 (win probability 65% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 18–0 | Q2 6:47 | 65% → 99% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 10–0 | Q3 4:42 | 100% → 100% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 9–0 | Q3 0:02 | 100% → 96% |