Mercer Bears 50, East Tennessee State Bucs 45
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-10 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated East Tennessee State Bucs 50–45 on 2026-02-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:13 swung win probability 75% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Tennessee State Bucs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 17 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50 |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 45 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:13 swung win probability 75% → 34%.
Why East Tennessee State Bucs lost
- Lost Q1 8-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 3:13 (win probability 75% → 34% for the home side).
- Shot 31.0% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 11–0 | Q1 3:13 | 75% → 34% |