Samford Bulldogs 44, East Tennessee State Bucs 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: East Tennessee State Bucs
East Tennessee State Bucs defeated Samford Bulldogs 53–44 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:42 swung win probability 69% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Samford Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 44 |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 13 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:42 swung win probability 69% → 92%.
Why Samford Bulldogs lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 2:42 (win probability 69% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 31.7% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 9–0 | Q1 2:42 | 69% → 92% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8–0 | Q2 1:53 | 72% → 94% |
| Samford Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q4 3:04 | 100% → 99% |