East Tennessee State Bucs 58, UNC Greensboro Spartans 48
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: East Tennessee State Bucs
East Tennessee State Bucs defeated UNC Greensboro Spartans 58–48 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:02 swung win probability 54% → 15%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 17 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 58 |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 13 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 48 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:02 swung win probability 54% → 15%.
Why UNC Greensboro Spartans lost
- Lost Q3 10-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 6:23 (win probability 55% → 22% for the home side).
- Shot 38.7% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 9–0 | Q1 6:23 | 55% → 22% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 9–0 | Q2 9:03 | 26% → 60% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8–0 | Q2 5:35 | 60% → 25% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8–0 | Q3 9:02 | 54% → 15% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 9–0 | Q3 2:49 | 29% → 1% |
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 8–0 | Q4 6:21 | 0% → 1% |