King (TN) Tornado 47, East Tennessee State Bucs 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: East Tennessee State Bucs
East Tennessee State Bucs defeated King (TN) Tornado 72–47 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:33 swung win probability 39% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why King (TN) Tornado lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King (TN) Tornado | 14 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 47 |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 9 | 25 | 20 | 18 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:33 swung win probability 39% → 90%.
Why King (TN) Tornado lost
- Lost Q3 4-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 8:33 (win probability 39% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-19.
- Outscored 12-1 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| King (TN) Tornado | 12–0 | Q1 1:49 | 75% → 29% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 9–0 | Q2 3:41 | 25% → 64% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 12–0 | Q3 8:33 | 39% → 90% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 12–0 | Q3 0:20 | 86% → 100% |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 8–0 | Q4 3:35 | 100% → 100% |