Chattanooga Mocs 55, Mercer Bears 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Chattanooga Mocs 68–55 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:49 swung win probability 64% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chattanooga Mocs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 14 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 55 |
| Mercer Bears | 13 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:49 swung win probability 64% → 98%.
Why Chattanooga Mocs lost
- Lost Q2 10-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 5:49 (win probability 64% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 37.7% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 9–0 | Q2 4:41 | 64% → 92% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 9–0 | Q3 9:08 | 92% → 64% |
| Mercer Bears | 12–0 | Q3 5:49 | 64% → 98% |