Mercer Bears 59, Chattanooga Mocs 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-30 · Winner: Chattanooga Mocs
Chattanooga Mocs defeated Mercer Bears 72–59 on 2026-01-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:07 swung win probability 48% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 15 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 59 |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 12 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:07 swung win probability 48% → 85%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost Q2 10-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 8:07 (win probability 48% → 85% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | Q1 6:24 | 72% → 42% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 10–0 | Q2 8:07 | 48% → 85% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 9–0 | Q3 1:09 | 85% → 100% |