Chattanooga Mocs 53, East Tennessee State Bucs 41
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Chattanooga Mocs
Chattanooga Mocs defeated East Tennessee State Bucs 53–41 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:16 swung win probability 44% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Tennessee State Bucs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 53 |
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 21 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 41 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:16 swung win probability 44% → 90%.
Why East Tennessee State Bucs lost
- Lost Q2 4-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:31 (win probability 87% → 56% for the home side).
- Shot 25.8% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State Bucs | 15–0 | Q1 4:16 | 44% → 90% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 9–0 | Q2 6:31 | 87% → 56% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 9–0 | Q4 7:40 | 28% → 0% |