Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 58, Chattanooga Mocs 59
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: Chattanooga Mocs
Chattanooga Mocs defeated Western Kentucky Lady Toppers 59–58 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:45 swung win probability 55% → 7%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 13 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 58 |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:45 swung win probability 55% → 7%.
Why Western Kentucky Lady Toppers lost
- Lost Q3 9-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 2:58 (win probability 7% → 27% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-6.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | 12–0 | Q3 8:45 | 55% → 7% |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 8–0 | Q3 2:58 | 7% → 27% |