Ohio Bobcats 85, Ball State Cardinals 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Ohio Bobcats 86–85 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:43 swung win probability 88% → 53%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ohio Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Bobcats | 17 | 20 | 15 | 33 | 85 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 22 | 16 | 22 | 26 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:43 swung win probability 88% → 53%.
Why Ohio Bobcats lost
- Lost Q3 15-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 5:44 (win probability 71% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q1 6:17 | 55% → 81% |
| Ohio Bobcats | 8–0 | Q3 6:43 | 88% → 53% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 13–0 | Q4 5:44 | 71% → 100% |
| Ohio Bobcats | 10–0 | Q4 3:57 | 100% → 94% |