Ball State Cardinals 64, Miami (OH) RedHawks 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) RedHawks defeated Ball State Cardinals 68–64 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:31 swung win probability 50% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 11 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 64 |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 10 | 17 | 27 | 14 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:31 swung win probability 50% → 98%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 8:31 (win probability 50% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 43.8% eFG vs a 51.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 10–0 | Q2 1:00 | 38% → 80% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 11–0 | Q4 8:31 | 50% → 98% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 8–0 | Q4 1:44 | 86% → 100% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 0:08 | 100% → 100% |