Ball State Cardinals 88, Buffalo Bulls 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-18 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Buffalo Bulls 88–55 on 2026-02-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 33-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 54% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Buffalo Bulls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 20 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 88 |
| Buffalo Bulls | 11 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 54% → 19%.
Why Buffalo Bulls lost
- Lost Q4 13-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 0:57 (win probability 54% → 19% for the home side).
- Shot 34.2% eFG vs a 40.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 9–0 | Q1 0:57 | 54% → 19% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q3 9:08 | 22% → 3% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 4:17 | 0% → 0% |