Ball State Cardinals 76, Central Michigan Chippewas 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Central Michigan Chippewas 76–70 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:57 swung win probability 48% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Michigan Chippewas lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 13 | 18 | 30 | 15 | 76 |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 12 | 17 | 26 | 15 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:57 swung win probability 48% → 79%.
Why Central Michigan Chippewas lost
- Shot 39.2% eFG vs a 47.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 29-19 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 8–0 | Q2 8:57 | 48% → 79% |