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Massachusetts Minutewomen 60, Ball State Cardinals 78

NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals

Ball State Cardinals defeated Massachusetts Minutewomen 78–60 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:41 swung win probability 31% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Massachusetts Minutewomen lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Massachusetts Minutewomen251481360
Ball State Cardinals2112242178

Win probability

Ball State Cardinals win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Ball State Cardinals) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:41 swung win probability 31% → 84%.
Why Massachusetts Minutewomen lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Ball State Cardinals8–0Q1 4:5947% → 75%
Massachusetts Minutewomen9–0Q1 0:4272% → 36%
Ball State Cardinals10–0Q3 2:4131% → 84%

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