Buffalo Bulls 61, Ball State Cardinals 103
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Buffalo Bulls 103–61 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 42-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:06 swung win probability 76% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Buffalo Bulls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 14 | 9 | 21 | 17 | 61 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 24 | 20 | 27 | 32 | 103 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:06 swung win probability 76% → 100%.
Why Buffalo Bulls lost
- Lost Q4 17-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q2 7:06 (win probability 76% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-12.
- Outscored 24-9 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 17–0 | Q2 7:06 | 76% → 100% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 8–0 | Q4 3:41 | 100% → 100% |