Ball State Cardinals 102, Akron Zips 73
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Akron Zips 102–73 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 29-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:36 swung win probability 75% → 14%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Akron Zips lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 25 | 27 | 34 | 16 | 102 |
| Akron Zips | 14 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:36 swung win probability 75% → 14%.
Why Akron Zips lost
- Lost Q3 20-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q1 0:36 (win probability 75% → 14% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-9.
- Outscored 25-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 17–0 | Q1 0:36 | 75% → 14% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 10–0 | Q3 9:48 | 4% → 0% |
| Akron Zips | 16–0 | Q4 0:46 | 0% → 0% |